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Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation Thompson, Erica | Frigg, Roman | Helgeson, Casey 2016 Philosophy of Science , Vol. 83 , Issue 5 , S. 1110 ff. ( Zeitschrift ) Englisch 0031-8248 | 1539-767X Abstract
Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.
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